Why the odds of winning Powerball jackpot are even worse than you think

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NEW YORK — The odds of winning Powerball have always been pretty bad. But recently they got worse. A lot worse.

The odds are now 1 in 292 million against you winning the $500 million jackpot in Wednesday night’s game.

The last time the jackpot got that big, back in February of 2015, the odds of winning were “only” 1 in 175 million.

The reason the odds are so much longer: Players now have more numbers to choose from. More choices mean longer odds.

Previously, players chose five numbers out of 59, but Powerball made a switch in October, so that players now choose five numbers from 69 numbers.

But your odds of picking the correct red Powerball number have actually improved, since players now choose from 26 numbers, down from 39 That boosts the chances of winning some kind of prize to 1 in 25 from 1 in 32. Players who pick just the Powerball number wins $4.

It’s now much harder to win the massive, life-changing jackpot. And it’s also more difficult to win the second prize of $1 million that goes to players who get all the numbers right except for the Powerball. Those odds are one in 11.7 million, more than twice as tough as they used to be.

Powerball hopes that having less frequent jackpot winners means there will be more rollover pots and thus larger top prizes. That in turn is should bring in more players and more wagers.

The odds may say that you’re not going to win. But here are a few things that you’re actually more likely to do:

  • Have an IQ of 190 or greater – (1 out of 107 million)
  • Give birth to quadruplets, even without the help of fertility treatments – (1 in 729,000)
  • Be killed by an asteroid strike – (1 in 700,000)
  • Being an American billionaire – (1 in 575,097)
  • Be killed by a lightning strike – (1 in 164,968)
  • Die by drowning – (1 in 1,113)
  • Be struck by lightning, while drowning – (1 in 183 million)


  • Hyrum_Justice

    These reasons won’t stop the tens of thousands of people from Utah flocking to Idaho for a chance. Such devoted mormons aren’t they? If they won… would they give their 10% to the old man? It’s past time to allow us to buy lottery tickets in this state.


      Assume much Hyrum? What makes you think all the people driving into Idaho from Utah are Mormons? Your hatred for them is connected with your alternate lifestyle. Chill out and your boyfriend will be happier.

  • Not a bob

    Some pay 10%…. thinking it will buy them a spot in the celestial kingdom.
    Some pay $20….. Thinking it will buy them a 1 in 292 millionchance at a better life.


      Those paying 10% to their church have learned the value of money and aren’t the ones throwing it away in Idaho or Wyoming. The majority of Utahns don’t want the lottery and are quite happy we don’t have it.

      • Pullyourheadout Bob

        Can you source that claim that the majority of Utahns don’t want the lottery and are quite happy we don’t have it? Or is that just what your bishop told you and you take it as fact?

      • Yourheadisstillupthere bob

        How about this… Rather than raising taxes on fuel and a sales tax on food we do the lottery and keep our money here. I’m sure plenty of folks would like that when a lot are already driving for it.

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